Money is the mother’s milk of politics, and next year’s gubernatorial race will be expensive. Candidates like Mike Cox and Pete Hoekstra are already running hard for their party’s nomination.
Cherry is a seasoned political figure who has spent seven years as lieutenant governor. However, his own campaign for governor has two massive strikes against it. For one thing, the Granholm administration is deeply unpopular. Political insiders have been frustrated with the governor’s inability to lead.
Normal voters know that the economy is horrible, and hundreds of thousands of Michiganders have lost jobs in the last year. Traditionally, voters tend to blame the party in power.
People haven’t liked the way things are going for quite some time. Michigan Republicans suffered for that in 2006, when Governor Granholm was reelected in a landslide, and last year, when President Obama had an even bigger win in Michigan.
Unhappiness with President George W. Bush was largely to blame in both cases. But Republicans are no longer in power. Next year, they intend to campaign hard against Granholm, and are trying to blame her for the economy, and to blame the lieutenant governor for all her failings. In fact, they are already referring to the last seven years as the “Cherry-Granholm administration.”
That may be a bit of a stretch. But in practice, for some mysterious reason, lieutenant governors, like vice presidents, tend to get all of the blame and none of the credit for their administrations.
When they run for the top job, the voters tend to punish them. Dick Posthumus, lieutenant governor under John Engler, lost to Jennifer Granholm in 2002. Twenty years before that, Lieutenant Governor Jim Brickley couldn’t even win his own party’s primary. In fact, in modern times, the only lieutenant governor to get elected to the top job was John Swainson, who won a very narrow victory on John F. Kennedy’s coattails in 1960.
This year, Democrats have made a decision to try to head off a primary fight and circle the wagons around John Cherry as their man. By the way State Representative Alma Wheeler Smith is also running for the Democratic nomination, as is John Freeman, a former legislator. Unfortunately for them, they have little money.
However, the Democrats may get a major primary fight whether they want one or not, if House Speaker Andy Dillon gets into the race. There is one thing Granholm could do if she were really serious about helping Cherry. She could resign.
That would give him a year to compile a record as governor on his own. That’s what happened to Bill Milliken, who was lieutenant governor until George Romney left to join the Nixon Administration.
Milliken went on to win three terms. But Ms. Granholm doesn’t seem inclined to leave. So, John Cherry faces an uphill battle next year, but despite all I’ve just said, we should remember the greatest of all political maxims: You just never can tell.

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